Considering the significance of transportation in everyday life, issues related to transportation are commonly encountered in developing and developed countries. The problems encountered in most countries are likewise evident in our country and manifest throughout several domains. Factors contributing to the issue include excessive passengers, inadequate trip availability to fulfill demand, ineffective line and route organization in addressing passenger requests, incomplete routes, and insufficient flight frequency. Insufficient service availability during peak hours and a preference for private automobiles are additional examples that can be mentioned. These negative factors reduce passenger happiness, lead to disturbances inside the company, and have a significant financial impact. Considering all these aspects, attempts were made to predict the future number of crossings using various forecasting algorithms based on the hourly public transportation dataset to achieve the lowest error rate. Based on the obtained results, an assessment was conducted on the areas with insufficient or missing flight frequencies, and recommendations were provided to enhance the number of flights in these regions, considering peak hours.
Cite this article as: E. Geçici and Z. Gürkaş-Aydin, Estimation of future number of passes and optimization of the number of trips based on Istanbul hourly public transportation data, Electrica, 24(1), 238-246, 2024.